Friday, September 19, 2008

CITIC to buy into Morgan Stanley?

From today's SCMP
Citic considers buying stake in Morgan Stanley
CIC mulls raising holding in US firm
Tim LeeMaster
Updated on Sep 19, 2008
State-owned Citic Group is reportedly considering buying a stake in Morgan Stanley as the United States investment bank seeks new capital amid the deepening financial crisis.
China Investment Corp, the mainland's sovereign wealth fund, meanwhile, is mulling raising its stake in Morgan Stanley despite Beijing's reluctance to approve overseas financial sector acquisitions.

CNBC yesterday reported that Citic was in talks with Morgan Stanley while the Financial Times reported that CIC, which already has a 9.9 per cent stake in the Wall Street firm, wanted to lift its holdings.

Citic and Morgan Stanley officials were unavailable for comment.

The troubled US financial industry has been increasingly seeking deep-pocketed Asian investors to bail it out of a crisis that has been compared with the Depression in its severity.

Citic is an investment holding company and has financial subsidiaries including the mainland's largest investment bank, Citic Securities, and the seventh-largest lender, China Citic Bank Corp.

CIC manages US$200 billion of the mainland's foreign exchange reserves.

Various media outlets have reported that Morgan Stanley is also in talks with Wachovia Corp, Citigroup and HSBC Holdings.

Morgan Stanley's shares have plunged 42 per cent in the first three trading days of this week as the crisis gripping some of the world's largest financial firms worsens.

Lehman Brothers Holdings, formerly the fourth-largest investment bank in the US, filed for bankruptcy on Monday before selling its US operations to Barclays, the third-largest British bank, for a comparative bargain.

Merrill Lynch did better with a sale, at a 70 per cent premium to its share price, to Bank of America Corp but lost its independence as a company.

The US government on Tuesday took over American International Group, the country's largest insurer.

Mainland regulators have been blocking bank acquisitions overseas this year as financial stocks continued to spiral downwards, making previous investments look like poor decisions.

China Development Bank, a policy bank trying to transform into a more commercially focused lender, was blocked in January from pumping US$2 billion into Citi, at that time the largest US financial institution.

Citic Securities was slowed in its attempted acquisition of Bear Stearns by regulatory foot-dragging, a move that turned prescient in March when Bear Stearns collapsed and was bought by JP Morgan.

"Bear Stearns was a lucky miss for them but Morgan Stanley is a more substantial operation and in a healthier state at this moment," said Warren Blight, a banking analyst at Foxx-Pitt Kelton.

"Given that [Citic] does have China's largest investment bank you can see some alignment there."

Still, other market observers said the prospect of a major move by mainland companies into the international finance sector was dim.

"In view of the global financial turmoil, Chinese financial institutions are likely to adopt a more cautious approach towards overseas investments," said Jing Ulrich, JP Morgan's chairman of China equities.

CIC acquired 9.9 per cent stakes in both Morgan Stanley and US private equity firm Blackstone Group last year.

Shares of Morgan Stanley are down 59.05 per cent this year to Wednesday while Blackstone's have fallen 32.22 per cent.

Meanwhile, Barclays yesterday said that it would raise US$1.36 billion from the sale of new shares to help fund its takeover of Lehman's US operations.

China Development Bank was forced to subscribe to a share placement in July to maintain its 3 per cent stake in the bank.

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